Combined with the two sets of inflation data in November, we can almost get a conclusion:To understand this problem, we need to know the reasons for the divergence between the two indexes today, so as to judge the market trend in the later period.Once the domestic economic recovery falls short of expectations in the fourth quarter of this year, the top management will continue to increase all kinds of economic stabilization policies to ensure the smooth operation of the domestic economy in the first quarter of next year! In fact, this point can also be found in the Xinhua News Agency article. When it comes to fiscal policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that there is still more room for borrowing in China at present; When it comes to monetary policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that the counter-cyclical mediation of monetary policy will continue to increase in the future!
After today's session, Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party, which has attracted much attention from the market, finally got big news! Judging from what Jun Ge has learned so far, the top management gave two reassurances at the meeting:Last Friday, the A-share market and the Growth Enterprise Market index both broke through the key pressure level, and the market closed above the 3400-point integer mark and the 5-day line, getting rid of the previous box channel; Growth enterprise market refers to the key 20-day pressure level, but from the structural point of view, it is in the form of a box.Now, if you look back at Friday's breakthrough in the broader market and the Xinhua News Agency's announcement over the weekend, you should have a new understanding of the next market!
First, this year we will successfully complete the economic growth target set at the beginning of the year! The meeting held that this year is a crucial year to realize the objectives and tasks of the 14 th Five-Year Plan, and China's economic strength, scientific and technological strength and comprehensive national strength have been continuously enhanced. The new quality productivity has developed steadily, the reform and opening up has continued to deepen, the risk mitigation in key areas has been orderly and effective, and the people's livelihood security has been solid and powerful. The main objectives and tasks of economic and social development throughout the year will be successfully completed.However, today's news is not calm. The Bureau of Statistics released China's CPI and PPI data in November, which will have a lasting impact on the real economy, high-level governance and the A-share market! It is also the main reason why today's A-share market did not continue the strong pattern of last Friday.Once the domestic economic recovery falls short of expectations in the fourth quarter of this year, the top management will continue to increase all kinds of economic stabilization policies to ensure the smooth operation of the domestic economy in the first quarter of next year! In fact, this point can also be found in the Xinhua News Agency article. When it comes to fiscal policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that there is still more room for borrowing in China at present; When it comes to monetary policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that the counter-cyclical mediation of monetary policy will continue to increase in the future!
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13