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Kaitou Macro: Trump's influence on oil and gas may come from foreign policy. Kaitou macro economists said that President-elect Trump may influence the global oil and gas supply through foreign policy rather than domestic production or trade tariffs. "We doubt whether tariffs affecting the oil industry will be effective, and the impact will be limited in the short term," economists said. "At the same time, the decision to increase production will ultimately depend on private producers who have been strictly observing capital discipline since the outbreak." In terms of climate policy, Kaitou Macro said that the biggest threat will be to cancel the tax credit for electric vehicle buyers, which will put the promotion of this car in the United States at risk of further slowdown.The main contract of alumina fell more than 2.00% in the day, and it is now reported at 5130 yuan/ton.U.S. aviation stocks rose, while U.S. aviation stocks rose. Alaska Airlines (ALK.N) rose by 12%, American Airlines (AAL.O) rose by 3.8% and Boeing (BA.N) rose by about 3.1%. The Airline Association predicted that the overall profit and operating income of the industry would increase slightly in 2025.

Institution: AUD/NZD may rebound in the coming months. Jane Foley, foreign exchange strategist of ABN amro, said in a report that AUD/NZD may rebound in the coming months, because the growth momentum of New Zealand's economy is far less than that of Australia. "The weakness of the New Zealand economy and the risk of further sharp interest rate cuts by the New Zealand Federal Reserve indicate that the fundamentals do not support the further performance of the New Zealand dollar against the Australian dollar." The New Zealand Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points in November and hinted that it would cut interest rates further in 2025. The Reserve Bank of Australia kept interest rates unchanged on Tuesday. The Dutch cooperative bank predicts that the Australian dollar will rise from the current 1.0991 to 1.12 against the New Zealand dollar within three months.Brazilian President Lula is in good condition after surgery and can speak and eat. The surgical medical team of Brazilian President Lula said on the 10th that Lula is in good condition after surgery and can speak and eat normally without any sequelae. The medical team held a press conference at the headquarters of the Syrian-Lebanese Hospital in Sao Paulo that morning. Roberto ahmed khalil, a team doctor, said that Lula will stay in the intensive care unit for another 48 hours and is expected to return to the capital Brasilia early next week. Lula was taken to the hospital with a headache late at night on the 9th, and was transferred to Sao Paulo for surgery after detecting intracranial hemorrhage. The operation lasted about 2 hours. The medical report released by the hospital in the early morning of the 10th said that "the operation went smoothly". (Xinhua News Agency)The Economic Affairs Committee of the Brazilian Senate approved Nilton David as the director of the central bank's monetary policy.

Poland will take over the rotating presidency of the European Union in the first half of 2025. On December 10th, local time, the Council of the European Union announced that Poland will take the rotating presidency of the Council of the European Union from January to June, 2025. On the same day, Polish Prime Minister Tusk said that the Russian-Ukrainian peace talks may begin this winter. Tusk said at the Polish government meeting, "The (EU rotating) presidency has a common responsibility for the direction of the political structure, and may also decide the situation during the (peace) negotiations. Although there are still doubts, peace talks may begin this winter. " (CCTV News)The South Korean court issued an arrest warrant for former Defense Minister Jin Longxian, and the South Korean court issued an arrest warrant for former Defense Minister Jin Longxian on December 11, local time.Wang Yi attended the 25th anniversary of Sino-Vietnamese land boundary demarcation and the 15th anniversary of the signing of the "Three Legal Documents". On December 10th, 2024, the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee Commissioner and Foreign Minister Wang Yi and Vietnamese Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Pei Qingshan attended the 25th anniversary of Sino-Vietnamese land boundary demarcation and the 15th anniversary of the signing of the "Three Legal Documents" in Beijing. Wang Yi said in his speech that China and Vietnam are friendly neighbors linked by mountains and rivers. In the long history, they have condensed into the traditional friendship of "deep friendship between China and Vietnam, comrades and brothers", and supported each other and helped each other in promoting the cause of socialist construction. The land border between China and Vietnam is not only a friendly bond between the two countries, but also a bridge for cooperation between the two sides. Twenty-five years ago, under the personal care and guidance of the leaders of the two parties and countries, the two sides insisted on solving the border issue through dialogue and consultation. After nine years of negotiation and consultation, they signed the Sino-Vietnamese Land Border Treaty, which laid a solid foundation for peace, stability and long-term stability in the border areas between the two countries and created favorable conditions for consolidating the traditional friendship between China and Vietnam and deepening the comprehensive strategic partnership between China and Vietnam. Over the past 25 years, with the joint efforts of both sides, the level of border management between China and Vietnam has been continuously improved, cross-border exchanges have become increasingly active, and border-related cooperation has yielded fruitful results. Wang Yi pointed out that we should create a clear and stable border, give full play to the basic and programmatic role of the Sino-Vietnamese land border treaty and the "three legal documents", strengthen the construction of border-related mechanisms such as the Land Border Joint Committee, continue to promote the legalization, systematization and standardization of border management, enhance the efficiency of border governance, and maintain a clear and stable border and a good order in border areas. We should create a border of prosperity and development, constantly improve the layout of port passages, promote the formation of a smart and convenient, compound development and friendly exchange port system, promote the connectivity of cross-border infrastructure such as bridges and roads, and promote regional coordinated development. We should build a friendly border for generations, encourage local exchanges and people-to-people exchanges, carry forward the valuable experience of successfully delineating the land border between China and Vietnam, uphold the spirit of good-neighborliness and frankness, and jointly safeguard peace, stability and development in the region. (Ministry of Foreign Affairs website)